[分享] 鱒魚受傷會增加大谷被交易的機會嗎？

今天MLB官網乳摸的分析

來源：https://atmlb.com/3XHH6iM

July 5: Does Trout’s injury increase likelihood of Ohtani trade?

前兩段提到天使在還有季後賽機會的情況下不會考慮賣大谷，鱒魚的受傷以及目前天使與外卡的距離（勝差4場）

接下來是大聯盟記者Jon Paul Morosi的分析，他認為大谷的狀況不受影響

“I really believe they’re still in buy mode,” Morosi said Wednesday. “I do n
ot buy at all this notion that, well, because Trout’s going to be out for a period of time, this means that Ohtani is suddenly available at the Deadline. I don’t buy that at all, at least not right now.

Morosi認為天使依然處在買家模式，不相信鱒魚受傷缺陣會突然讓大谷變成可能交易的標的。

“For now, the Angels are still very much in contention mode. They look at the fact they’re still above .500 right now. [Outfielder Mickey] Moniak has had some good moments for them this season. I think they’re going to roll with this lineup and hope that by the end of July they’re still in a contending posture. They believe they’ve got the outfielders, especially with Jo Adell there as well,to find a way to contend with the group they’ve got."

天使隊現階段仍處於競爭模式，勝率仍高於五成，而且Moniak今年表現不錯。Morosi相信天使隊會繼續使用這套陣容，然後希望他們到七月底時一樣能維持競爭力。

The Angels have additional reasons for not wanting to trade Ohtani. For one, the return is not likely to be large enough to appease the fan base, given Ohtani’s status as a “rental” player.

還有其他理由讓天使不想交易大谷，其中之一是他現在是出租球員，交易的回報很難說服球迷。

Also, as The Athletic’s Ken Rosenthal (subscription required) noted on Wednesday, keeping Ohtani through the Deadline would at least maintain some hope that the club can re-sign him as a free agent. But a trade would all but guarantee that he wouldn’t be back, considering players who are traded before free agency rarely return to their former teams.

Ken Rosenthal則提出另外一個觀點，天使留下大谷至少可以保有一絲絲希望在他成為自由球員以後與之重新簽約，但交易了就幾乎保證大谷不會再回來。

懶人包：專家覺得不會

大概是這樣

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