[情報] ESPN FA價碼預測 期中對答案
ESPN專家Kiley McDaniel
之前有寫一篇預測FA價碼，就來對一下答案吧xd
#1XYIig6f (MLB)
畢竟最近不會有新進度了QQ
Kiley McDaniel's 2021-22 MLB free agent rankings
https://reurl.cc/q1XA3N
2.Corey Seager, SS
Projected contract: 7 years, $210 million (30 AAV)
實際: 10 years, $325 million (32.5 AAV)
5.Marcus Semien, SS
Projected contract: 5 years, $110 million (22 AAV)
實際: 7 years, $175 million (25 AAV)
6. Kevin Gausman, RHP
Projected contract: 5 years, $105 million (21 AAV)
實際: 5 years, $110 million (22 AAV)
7. Max Scherzer, RHP
Projected contract: 3 years, $90 million (30 AAV)
實際: 3 years, $130 million (43 AAV)
9. Robbie Ray, LHP
Projected contract: 4 years, $76 million (19 AAV)
實際: 5 years, $115 million (23 AAV)
10. Starling Marte, CF
Projected contract: 4 years, $68 million (17 AAV)
實際: 4 years, $78 million (19.5 AAV)
11. Javier Baez, SS
Projected contract: 1 year, $25 million
實際: 6 years, $140 million (23.3 AAV)
16. Eduardo Rodriguez, LHP
Projected contract: 3 years, $51 million (17 AAV)
實際: 5 years, $77 million (15.4 AAV)
18. Marcus Stroman, RHP
Projected contract: 3 years, $48 million (16 AAV)
實際: 3 years, $71 million (23.6 AAV)
19. Avisail Garcia, OF
Projected contract: 3 years, $45 million (15 AAV)
實際: 4 years, $53 million (13.25 AAV)
20. Raisel Iglesias, RHP
Projected contract: 3 years, $45 million (15 AAV)
實際: 4 years, $58 million (14.5 AAV)
22. Chris Taylor, UTL
Projected contract: 3 years, $39 million (13 AAV)
實際: 4 years, $60 million (15 AAV)
23. Jon Gray, RHP
Projected contract: 3 years, $39 million (13 AAV)
實際: 4 years, $56 million (14 AAV)
24. Anthony DeSclafani, RHP
Projected contract: 3 years, $36 million (12 AAV)
實際: 3 years, $36 million (12 AAV)
25. Mark Canha, OF
Projected contract: 2 years, $28 million (14 AAV)
實際: 2 years, $26.5 million (13.25 AAV)
26. Noah Syndergaard, RHP
Projected contract: 2 years, $28 million (14 AAV)
實際: 1 years, $21 million
27. Kendall Graveman, RHP
Projected contract: 3 years, $27 million (9 AAV)
實際: 3 years, $24 million (8 AAV)
28. Steven Matz, LHP
Projected contract: 2 years, $25 million (12.5 AAV)
實際: 4 years, $44 million (11 AAV)
29. Brandon Belt, 1B
Projected contract: 2 years, $25 million (12.5 AAV)
實際: 1 years, $18.4 million
32. Alex Wood, LHP
Projected contract: 2 years, $22 million (11 AAV)
實際: 2 years, $25 million (12.5 AAV)
34. Justin Verlander, RHP
Projected contract: 1 year, $18.4 million
實際: 2 years, $50 million (25 AAV)
37. Eduardo Escobar, 3B
Projected contract: 2 years, $15 million (7.5 AAV)
實際: 2 years, $20 million (10 AAV)
38. Aaron Loup, LHP
Projected contract: 2 years, $14 million (7 AAV)
實際: 2 years, $17 million (8.5 AAV)
39. Alex Cobb, RHP
Projected contract: 2 years, $14 million (7 AAV)
實際: 2 years, $20 million (10 AAV)
45. Corey Kluber, RHP
Projected contract: 1 year, $10 million
實際: 1 years, $8 million
46. Andrew Heaney, LHP
Projected contract: 1 year, $10 million
實際: 1 years, $8.5 million
48. Yan Gomes, C
Projected contract: 1 year, $8.5 million
實際: 2 years, $13 million (6.5 AAV)
--
※ 編輯: zxc906383 (61.231.198.229 臺灣), 12/03/2021 20:23:26
Kluber $8MM
啊啊 感謝
※ 編輯: zxc906383 (61.231.198.229 臺灣), 12/03/2021 20:26:08
前幾個全部超過預測 扯
這份預測都偏低啊
※ 編輯: zxc906383 (61.231.198.229 臺灣), 12/03/2021 20:27:03※ 編輯: zxc906383 (61.231.198.229 臺灣), 12/03/2021 20:28:44
一個神命中
通膨。。
一個全中 但大部分都溢價
我倒覺得是這位專家低估行情欸 老大他都只估5yr/90M AAV18M 了欸XD
封館有差 制服組也想放價
除了25、27、45、46外，其他不是年薪更高就是合約更長。
巴耶子天差地遠阿
一串看下來還是覺得雷神的約很爛
被封館搞到都overpaid
雷神畢竟太久沒投球了。
雷神要拚這一年 換大約 他實在太不健康了 長約很難給
今年勞方大勝利 很多坦隊開始花錢了
這份本來的預測就太低 Kiley本業是做新秀的 這預測
價碼根本是好幾年前的價位了...
這份真的有點亂估XD
這中間好幾個都不可能簽這麼低啊
只有6. 24. 25. 27.比較準
Lorenzen原本估多少啊?我很好奇
他沒進前五十名FA啊XD 沒估
※ 編輯: zxc906383 (220.129.200.116 臺灣), 12/04/2021 10:30:31Cashman 派來的吧
今年投手明顯漲價 這漲幅要預料中也不容易
好吧 雖然不太意外
推
好像只看後援投手算準 其他的沒什麼參考價值
33
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