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[心得] 來估看看2020台股最低點

看板Stock標題[心得] 來估看看2020台股最低點作者
andycat5566
(帥到分手ovak Djokovic s)
時間推噓推:315 噓:12 →:90

1、景氣不好,工具機製造業倒了一堆

2、無薪假暴增的跡象

3、政府振興內需的輔導。

4、武漢疫情擴散

5、油價暴跌

6、中美貿易戰

以上有這麼多種種不安跡象。

應該大部分人都看壞,好奇2020台股最低點會落在哪。

小弟估2020台股最差在5000點不知道會不會估太壞。

請大家也來猜猜看,謝謝 。


小弟大約統計
猜6000約30%
猜7000約20%
猜8000約20%
猜5000約15%
猜其他約15%
希望這數據對大家有參考價值

--

※ PTT留言評論
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 180.204.140.145 (臺灣)
PTT 網址

braja5566 03/17 18:057500~8000

season2011 03/17 18:054000

formec 03/17 18:05我猜對 折6000點

BoyRock 03/17 18:066000

nakinight 03/17 18:069000底吧 台股這麼硬

BlueOctober 03/17 18:06定期定額 當退休金買

boy1031 03/17 18:067300左右 散戶太有錢了

currant 03/17 18:068888

UCCUplz 03/17 18:07亂喊6000

qllow 03/17 18:078500~9000

c98765432c 03/17 18:075500

BURNFISH 03/17 18:07猜對折

Yunk 03/17 18:075566

protoss666 03/17 18:076339

nrefder 03/17 18:07跌破5000我吃......素一個月

skyexers 03/17 18:079000吧 很快就會上20000了 趕快歐印

rongjun 03/17 18:088168

aixiiae2005 03/17 18:087749

apolloapollo03/17 18:083956

Doub1eK 03/17 18:08我猜7000

she123667 03/17 18:086000

evolution99903/17 18:085287

frankie3043203/17 18:087XXX 但越來越悲觀囉

wastetheone 03/17 18:080

a5413eric 03/17 18:085487

danny2451 03/17 18:087500

fragile8G 03/17 18:088200

abyssa1 03/17 18:098170

HanaIro 03/17 18:093955

sunmao 03/17 18:097XXX

Asahina 03/17 18:095278

Yunk 03/17 18:09只要3個月內單日最低有觸到5566 請以下10樓吃雞排

gazelle74 03/17 18:09第一關9527已經如預期先跌破了,下一關必破關卡是87

gazelle74 03/17 18:0987

jerry5020 03/17 18:096152

CSLsong 03/17 18:09

lee1023 03/17 18:098957

aromaplant 03/17 18:096500-7000吧..

firelin 03/17 18:096666

cosmite 03/17 18:09蓋雞排

owsy 03/17 18:106700

xuane 03/17 18:108700點最低

jay780305 03/17 18:108888

deangogi 03/17 18:102266

ddchris 03/17 18:105566

asf15956 03/17 18:10

wujason 03/17 18:107000

hanslins 03/17 18:106000

winston06 03/17 18:113點14

Yidra 03/17 18:114500

saihao 03/17 18:1187

avigale 03/17 18:115487

tsitned 03/17 18:113000

angry5566 03/17 18:12散戶直接尬到萬三

sam90205 03/17 18:126785

kokilly 03/17 18:126495.83 淨值1倍

envy116 03/17 18:12目前估8600

fancyrex 03/17 18:123955

gidapops 03/17 18:125000學我的 請猜4999

f770622 03/17 18:128848

lk2986706we 03/17 18:12最高點20000

DustToDust 03/17 18:128500

handsomegg3903/17 18:126789

cloud0829 03/17 18:128000-8500

poisonB 03/17 18:129000會掙扎一下 今年低點頂多8000

new1974 03/17 18:122997

lasd 03/17 18:128300

wizp 03/17 18:136599

qazse000 03/17 18:137777

allen0080 03/17 18:136000

panmomo 03/17 18:135050

mepass 03/17 18:13搞不好宣布鎖國指數就上來了 也不用救

nottell 03/17 18:136500

joygo 03/17 18:13大概要融資斷頭吧,猜一半6264

golover 03/17 18:143955

Giantpanda 03/17 18:146000

etop 03/17 18:142330

peach812 03/17 18:154848

usan 03/17 18:155487,選我正解

vul3ai 03/17 18:156423

sumerrain 03/17 18:157890

flipflap 03/17 18:156000

capirex 03/17 18:156750

s8911124 03/17 18:159000

jagger 03/17 18:169000

alau 03/17 18:168787

KuraHoshi 03/17 18:166987 不能再高

m2938 03/17 18:168740 選我正解

Kayusumi 03/17 18:178362

ydna666666 03/17 18:17不會跌破7000的

flyslam 03/17 18:177500極限了

pezon123 03/17 18:177232

xx013652 03/17 18:188k

adam6693 03/17 18:187200

ibox5566 03/17 18:18我猜台股會消失

green0953 03/17 18:187700

meidong 03/17 18:183955

ntutmpmpm 03/17 18:187788

bestoniel 03/17 18:199300

vaness07 03/17 18:198300

Beretta 03/17 18:206750

m9100612 03/17 18:207200

Scorpion030203/17 18:20來猜前低7200

a7983115 03/17 18:218500,一堆人滿手現金

snowdraught 03/17 18:219487已經跌破 下測5487

iampig95175303/17 18:21三千,八成準

uu5l4yk6u 03/17 18:215800

wallacetop 03/17 18:217200

leave0316 03/17 18:216969

bring777 03/17 18:21一張不賣,奇蹟自來

neo5277 03/17 18:21不免俗來一下2020

CandyG 03/17 18:218600

SA01 03/17 18:22三月收復12000

sai0720 03/17 18:228744

podon 03/17 18:225566

jet80088 03/17 18:238787

ETTom 03/17 18:238400

justiceyes 03/17 18:237878 QQ

chjh20223 03/17 18:246000

Flcyndi 03/17 18:245487

gn7722 03/17 18:246500點

jokem 03/17 18:244998

airforce110103/17 18:243600

chen0625 03/17 18:24誰跟你第一關9527是9487

q111175 03/17 18:258000吧 現在還不是台積撐指數的 其他個股早就滿身是

q111175 03/17 18:25血了

choasX 03/17 18:257500

HailToObov 03/17 18:25五千大家就三餐吃饅頭,其餘全買股

hamaoka 03/17 18:253000

AmadeusC 03/17 18:255000!!!

redm35 03/17 18:26猜中有發錢嗎?

blueblueshin03/17 18:274500

kyova 03/17 18:27500點。除了GG,其他倒閉下市

otis41310 03/17 18:2721點

Introversion03/17 18:283500

cuteama 03/17 18:286388

agvnol 03/17 18:288650

rickyang003403/17 18:283899

NSYSUEE 03/17 18:287500

KY1998 03/17 18:286000~8000

hdw 03/17 18:288888

kyova 03/17 18:285千點跌破淨值了,不知道是什麼樣的情境~~

peal1232000 03/17 18:288700

meggy956 03/17 18:280

kyova 03/17 18:29GG佔2000點,然後其他股PB ratio通通0.5?

max0928895 03/17 18:297600

TITAN12 03/17 18:292330

jkjkallen 03/17 18:298444

vanadiu 03/17 18:298000

kyova 03/17 18:29到時候大部分散戶通通失業,要去乞討了,買股幹嘛

striving 03/17 18:308500吧

tinystudio 03/17 18:303954

Brian23 03/17 18:308726

belleg31636 03/17 18:303456

amigowei 03/17 18:315888點

shannienie 03/17 18:317000點

kikilala123403/17 18:317777

ecelent 03/17 18:325000

werty982730 03/17 18:327000吧,再多應該就直接5000了

wbuffet3ds 03/17 18:327000謝謝

Franc1224 03/17 18:334888

a781106a 03/17 18:33跌破8000就封盤了

jiemeng 03/17 18:348700

secretweapon03/17 18:356000

a134 03/17 18:368300

vanPersie20 03/17 18:362330

elwin036 03/17 18:367000跟2008年一樣接近淨值

Aixtron 03/17 18:372587

pageant 03/17 18:376239

jason4101 03/17 18:376000

blj7331 03/17 18:387779

Ceferino 03/17 18:384250

dydnt 03/17 18:388500

dchow 03/17 18:386000

abcd425heart03/17 18:396666末日敵基督來臨

leokwo 03/17 18:393954

iamshiao 03/17 18:39估時間比較有意義吧

sikerkuaitai03/17 18:406800

opop1133 03/17 18:407700

oplk 03/17 18:418796

ss7216tw 03/17 18:417000

ab2u04fu4ab 03/17 18:42沒有無薪假

nowhere2529 03/17 18:428200

ai112039 03/17 18:43那還不空起來

SeTeVen 03/17 18:44曾銘宗粉絲好期待低點

tiku123 03/17 18:44七月底 多少就多少.不過對應歐洲的話.台股應7200了

tetsu0401 03/17 18:446789

NYY5566 03/17 18:445566

zxcas 03/17 18:44來個8888

tiku123 03/17 18:44歐洲是領先指標.看他去估計就可以了.

saixpzooo 03/17 18:453600

alice1967 03/17 18:464200

pcner081959 03/17 18:466000 空軍部署完畢 等錢掉下來

GetMoney 03/17 18:46我估0800092000給你參考

alice1967 03/17 18:46唉 我覺得我估高了,改3800

haosan 03/17 18:477000~8000

mioaria 03/17 18:473000

azazxz123 03/17 18:477643

Jabarkas 03/17 18:47太高,3500收

bbb1987 03/17 18:477000

bpwolf 03/17 18:487500

tim98tim 03/17 18:485200

snsdakb48 03/17 18:483954

allison110 03/17 18:498000~9000

jones2011 03/17 18:497200

KKLEE007 03/17 18:496800

shydan071 03/17 18:507750

cblade 03/17 18:507050

teeo 03/17 18:513915

gedadiao 03/17 18:526200

slimmama66 03/17 18:524200

ncdw 03/17 18:52PBR 1.2x

jerry213 03/17 18:527800-7900

Powerfulfox 03/17 18:528990

SaintsRow 03/17 18:527600

llcjhcom 03/17 18:531000

RozenMaidenI03/17 18:537200 肺炎-10% 油價-20% 連鎖多重恐慌-10%

cococat1028 03/17 18:548087

fan0226 03/17 18:546000-7000會進場吧

fan0226 03/17 18:556000將近一半了

s97051581 03/17 18:555000

Homeparty 03/17 18:557800

picacuo 03/17 18:55各位大大救我,我是一張不賣奇蹟自來的存股族,但幾

ken781222 03/17 18:557450

picacuo 03/17 18:55年來配息的都賠光了 價差也都沒了 還倒賠....

jeff79723 03/17 18:565000

Mysex 03/17 18:5685~9000

linaa01 03/17 18:56pbr 0.9~1.1X 5850~7150

yafx4200p 03/17 18:578200

quarters 03/17 18:588346

threeyuan 03/17 18:584000選我

jie1020 03/17 18:584/17前摸到7500,雞牌100份,我請!!

dinotea 03/17 18:595987

Azabulu 03/17 18:594000不能再低了

EdisonAT 03/17 18:596012

onepiecefan 03/17 18:598300

kaikai5566 03/17 19:005250

avrw 03/17 19:012xxx,破3000。

jeromeshih 03/17 19:016000

j32072 03/17 19:019000-8800之間

neoa01 03/17 19:026000

vtgc161 03/17 19:03機率論,9371

AWhopaWhoA 03/17 19:036666

s1014072 03/17 19:04500

cash0221 03/17 19:057878

chiguang 03/17 19:056700

FireSunFire 03/17 19:057980

※ 編輯: andycat5566 (180.204.140.145 臺灣), 03/17/2020 19:11:24

JMashburn 03/17 19:062330

pttstock 03/17 19:078500

Pesta 03/17 19:077887

eiugene 03/17 19:077978

lysing12 03/17 19:087638啦

q65810 03/17 19:086532

weiweialien 03/17 19:097800

arkun 03/17 19:096999

stock168 03/17 19:104267.4

verashing 03/17 19:105555

win1109 03/17 19:115555

tteeccddyy 03/17 19:132800

Moneybank 03/17 19:135487

lika32 03/17 19:165000

EkkoCarriesU03/17 19:177488

MicroLan 03/17 19:186666

aazz32520 03/17 19:193500

northsoft 03/17 19:193000

Biglottery 03/17 19:207777

ChangZhu 03/17 19:218700不能再低了

kuaiphoto 03/17 19:235566

sellasheep 03/17 19:238726

ups 03/17 19:237268

even2300471 03/17 19:249000

ilovecat556603/17 19:249000ㄅ

mikehuang12 03/17 19:245487

sharring 03/17 19:256000

hanshsu 03/17 19:255869

shala 03/17 19:269100

uglily 03/17 19:268000

sprucewind 03/17 19:279000

sushi11 03/17 19:29台股空將下市

Arjuju99 03/17 19:295000梭

dakkk 03/17 19:307000

y0811321 03/17 19:308000

Mues 03/17 19:318000

Edgekinger 03/17 19:31

test100fen 03/17 19:318900

izumira 03/17 19:317500

lanhow 03/17 19:324000

keyman2 03/17 19:326150

smallken041003/17 19:326633

MinJun5566 03/17 19:336000吧

NBC427 03/17 19:334300

xxxhiz 03/17 19:347000左右吧

A5343138 03/17 19:343800~4500

airyumin 03/17 19:34開個6000點給他…

ms0443001 03/17 19:348365

smellrat 03/17 19:35100

deshuge1 03/17 19:356000

wei92919 03/17 19:364578

kanehhh 03/17 19:378800我最愛的一支手機

monkeydpp 03/17 19:375201

YCHsiao5566 03/17 19:387777

thindust 03/17 19:388500

asd01248967 03/17 19:386486

hchs31705 03/17 19:396387

germanism41403/17 19:395978不是我給崗

yongsing222 03/17 19:407000~8000 解藥就出來了

RBTMLhiy 03/17 19:403000

questionboy 03/17 19:413363 選我正解

kobe7785075 03/17 19:416000

sleepmilk 03/17 19:417487。

godass 03/17 19:414260

jlblin 03/17 19:44十年線減20%就差不多了,3字頭看不到啦

ookimoo 03/17 19:453000

fhsh115 03/17 19:467800

omk1211 03/17 19:484500

Mr12 03/17 19:485566

chungj 03/17 19:48一天跌250預計兩個月後就歸零了

object 03/17 19:498740

ja1295 03/17 19:506700

sasaogidada 03/17 19:505278

d0230 03/17 19:513636

billionaire 03/17 19:518800

Lukas8b90G 03/17 19:526500

kk87822 03/17 19:527000左右吧

x2002s 03/17 19:534958

book2381 03/17 19:533000

wei7799 03/17 19:537675

WusoAiwen 03/17 19:547878不能再低了

awei0128 03/17 19:566000

weivvv 03/17 19:56395

edward19879103/17 19:594800

u9912114 03/17 20:001000

dnm08 03/17 20:00破9000禁空8400國安基金開會8000進場

sccj 03/17 20:002000

WBS0615 03/17 20:036600

neo5277 03/17 20:032020

gojin 03/17 20:04一塊兩毛五

pptipad 03/17 20:046800

Jaymainal 03/17 20:0813000

itwt 03/17 20:108547

seadown 03/17 20:108500

jpy 03/17 20:108892

shian0222 03/17 20:11先看個7000

zxzx0521 03/17 20:123682點 選我正解

vlee 03/17 20:13武漢肺炎會擴散,只有他會讓台股到3000,再抄低。

vlee 03/17 20:13希望自己撑過沒死

Becauseloves03/17 20:14你忘了有護盤嗎? 怎麼可能低到6000

digodi 03/17 20:144444。

rahim 03/17 20:147000-8000

jur1512 03/17 20:147000

clamperni 03/17 20:15今天

wed1979 03/17 20:185698....7月底...

cucugo 03/17 20:196837

kevinaa 03/17 20:22426

kkevinhess1t03/17 20:267500

t88965 03/17 20:28對折再對折我把自己也對折 2500啦

ikariamman 03/17 20:287000

asas40123 03/17 20:306600好了

sospeter 03/17 20:328468

hsuehroger 03/17 20:346200

eric7751 03/17 20:358400

karta143821 03/17 20:38說9000底的先笑死

sbilor 03/17 20:426~7000, 90%

richard85 03/17 20:438787

lyh39 03/17 20:442700左右

TheFusion 03/17 20:447000多

kkjjkkjj 03/17 20:453000

spppeter 03/17 20:466400

newstarisme 03/17 20:498500+/-300

dryadd52379 03/17 20:507000附近

gigikaka 03/17 20:508800

shaly0815 03/17 20:528200

jean78815 03/17 20:547000左右 不能再低了

will501 03/17 20:576606

vivian0884 03/17 21:009100

testhaha 03/17 21:02好啦,9000

ezoboy 03/17 21:036500-7500

extrafree 03/17 21:033000

andykao082 03/17 21:087000以上

odddriver 03/17 21:175000down

lovecab 03/17 21:187696

tokyoboy 03/17 21:20我估7000點左右

bookbnnbnn 03/17 21:218000

hhwwhw 03/17 21:216530

z70126 03/17 21:245566+1=5567

hypoge 03/17 21:287500

tinglottery 03/17 21:3712000

bob1039b 03/17 21:407000

ivy3052001 03/17 21:446500-7000

yuinghoooo 03/17 21:46應該6000多 腰斬

km612tw 03/17 21:514817

girld 03/17 21:596000

questioner 03/17 22:055000..... 太看不起了吧

antigay44 03/17 22:06想太多,針腳碰800就偷笑了

Cireiat 03/17 22:076330不用謝了

numeronius 03/17 22:268888 發大財

vencil 03/17 22:318700

Kkccy 03/17 22:387000

Cassgo 03/17 22:455069

ilovedaodao 03/17 23:024000

ymit 03/17 23:107000左右+1

FirePopcorn 03/17 23:156000

pennylins 03/17 23:198000

Zaqjim 03/17 23:266500

carlos15935703/17 23:31頂多8000

glayds 03/17 23:358600

Vhiilrvp 03/17 23:545600

tp6m6d93 03/18 00:259487

Petrovsky 03/18 00:376500

operatorm 03/18 00:422000

bobo30 03/18 01:018787

iuirigi 03/18 02:35$.......

tlu3 03/18 03:3067左右吧,多頭十年該順勢修正

Chikarable 03/18 03:348000

wyl0638 03/18 06:209527 我阿罵託夢給的

laechan 03/18 07:47不忍估

TR55 03/18 08:368888