[討論] 95W TCFA
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT - VALID TIME:07/0300Z
Intensity: 18 TO 23 KNOTS. Motion: THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 17
KNOTS.
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GFS
https://i.meee.com.tw/7B57doI.png
ECMWF
https://i.meee.com.tw/vzvna5z.png
AI-FNV3
https://i.meee.com.tw/zle5Ya2.png
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推
覺得這顆有去年康芮的感覺…
推
這有機會拉下涼空氣嗎？
推
倒是強度各家都不怎麼看好
推
就吃到哈隆的幅散廢氣，要等到琉球群島海域才會增強
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，拉涼空氣可能還很難，能降海溫就不錯了。
推
差那麼遠 你的感覺…
推
離那麼遠搞不好北部連溫降都無感～
推
康芮剛形成時的感覺，位置差不多！XD
推
http://i.imgur.com/vPn1Hq0.jpg 這個比較康芮吧
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但也是十天後的訊號
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完全不會聯想到康芮…大氣配置也不同
推
14號福岡回來應該沒事吧
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日本是當作TD處理
推
目前大方向都是北轉
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有種突然與哈隆拉近的感覺
推
是在哈隆（死語復興運動
推
我是XD老人
![[討論] 95W TCFA](https://i.imgur.com/dw0muXyb.png "[討論] 95W TCFA")
爆
[颱風] 96W TCFA/GWTROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 96W) WTPN21 PGTW 191500 1912002 POSITION: NEAR 14.1 138.1E MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 18 TO 23 KNOTS![[颱風] 96W TCFA/GW](https://i.imgur.com/nGCj8mGb.gif "[颱風] 96W TCFA/GW")
爆
[情報] 90W GW TCFA準昌鴻~ JMA: 目前GW就會有五日預報 誤差圈仍非常大，代表變數也很大![[情報] 90W GW TCFA](https://i.imgur.com/UBsz7R7b.jpg "[情報] 90W GW TCFA")
58
[討論] 18W 生成95W 升格 18W了 JTWC第1報 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 001// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/052251ZSEP2021![[討論] 18W 生成](https://i.imgur.com/8wl9K0Kb.gif "[討論] 18W 生成")
36
[颱風] 2301 珊瑚WTPN31 PGTW 210300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01W (SANVU) WARNING NR 007// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (SANVU) WARNING NR 007![[颱風] 2301 珊瑚](https://i.imgur.com/TkvAowkb.jpg "[颱風] 2301 珊瑚")
11
[情報] 98W TCFA+GWFORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.6N 122.5E TO 18.2N 117.1E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 111200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR![[情報] 98W TCFA+GW](https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp9820.gif "[情報] 98W TCFA+GW")
11
[情報] 92W TCFAWTPN21 PGTW 091100 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 92W)//![[情報] 92W TCFA](https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp9220.gif "[情報] 92W TCFA")
8
[情報] 92W GW/TCFA可能因為要通過琉球群島一帶 JMA可說是效率滿滿呢~ 台灣需要注意這個系統的發展 有可能在周一通過台灣東北方海面(也可能更靠近)![[情報] 92W GW/TCFA](https://i.imgur.com/ChbwPZLb.jpg "[情報] 92W GW/TCFA")
5
[情報] 93W TCFA GWWTPN21 PGTW 110930 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 93W)//![[情報] 93W TCFA GW](https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp9320.gif "[情報] 93W TCFA GW")
1
[情報] 96W TCFAWTPN21 PGTW 161500 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 96W) // RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN![[情報] 96W TCFA](https://i.imgur.com/CULAtRDb.gif "[情報] 96W TCFA")
[颱風] 95W TCFATROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 95W) WTPN21 PGTW 251500 2512002 POSITION: NEAR 16.1N 148.3E MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 20 TO 25 KHOTS![[颱風] 95W TCFA](https://i.imgur.com/InJDmkub.gif "[颱風] 95W TCFA")
![[討論] 93W TD[W]](https://i.duk.tw/sa3bLi.png "[討論] 93W TD[W]")