[颱風] 99E TCFA 模式預估橫跨三洋
雖然是昨天清晨TCFA，但在最近幾報的數值模式顯示後期進入西太是有可能性
但目前他還是會西行進入中太平洋，一樣從夏威夷群島南方溜走
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WTPN22 PHNC 121930
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.5N 140.7W TO 9.3N 133.2W
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 121200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 9.3N 133.5W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS.
https://i.imgur.com/Odnvh5X.png
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GFS 06Z 系集
https://i.imgur.com/d6PetvH.png
EC 06C 系集
https://i.imgur.com/MZJ5g3C.png
CIRA 模式路徑預測誤差概率
https://i.imgur.com/Y3OSufF.png
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※ PTT留言評論
爆
Re: [颱風] 2114 璨樹JTWC 第10報 Typhoon CHANTHU As of 12:00 UTC Sep 08, 2021: Location: 15.5°N 130.3°E Maximum Winds: 135 kt Gusts: N/A![Re: [颱風] 2114 璨樹](https://i.imgur.com/WYRh8nmb.gif "Re: [颱風] 2114 璨樹")
爆
Re: [颱風] 2114 璨樹JTWC 第8報 Typhoon CHANTHU As of 00:00 UTC Sep 08, 2021: Location: 16.0°N 132.3°E Maximum Winds: 120 kt Gusts: N/A![Re: [颱風] 2114 璨樹](https://i.imgur.com/jmIxQ7tb.gif "Re: [颱風] 2114 璨樹")
爆
[情報] 90W GW TCFA準昌鴻~ JMA: 目前GW就會有五日預報 誤差圈仍非常大，代表變數也很大![[情報] 90W GW TCFA](https://i.imgur.com/UBsz7R7b.jpg "[情報] 90W GW TCFA")
58
[討論] 18W 生成95W 升格 18W了 JTWC第1報 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 001// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/052251ZSEP2021![[討論] 18W 生成](https://i.imgur.com/8wl9K0Kb.gif "[討論] 18W 生成")
36
[颱風] 2301 珊瑚WTPN31 PGTW 210300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01W (SANVU) WARNING NR 007// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (SANVU) WARNING NR 007![[颱風] 2301 珊瑚](https://i.imgur.com/TkvAowkb.jpg "[颱風] 2301 珊瑚")
25
[情報] 01W 形成TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z --- NEAR 9.6N 128.8E![[情報] 01W 形成](https://i.imgur.com/WxEat8Nb.gif "[情報] 01W 形成")
11
[情報] 98W TCFA+GWFORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.6N 122.5E TO 18.2N 117.1E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 111200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR![[情報] 98W TCFA+GW](https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp9820.gif "[情報] 98W TCFA+GW")
11
[情報] 92W TCFAWTPN21 PGTW 091100 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 92W)//![[情報] 92W TCFA](https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp9220.gif "[情報] 92W TCFA")
8
[情報] 92W GW/TCFA可能因為要通過琉球群島一帶 JMA可說是效率滿滿呢~ 台灣需要注意這個系統的發展 有可能在周一通過台灣東北方海面(也可能更靠近)![[情報] 92W GW/TCFA](https://i.imgur.com/ChbwPZLb.jpg "[情報] 92W GW/TCFA")
5
[情報] 93W TCFA GWWTPN21 PGTW 110930 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 93W)//![[情報] 93W TCFA GW](https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp9320.gif "[情報] 93W TCFA GW")