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[颱風] 99E TCFA 模式預估橫跨三洋

看板TY_Research標題[颱風] 99E TCFA 模式預估橫跨三洋作者
kadar
(卡卡達達)
時間推噓 2 推:2 噓:0 →:1

雖然是昨天清晨TCFA,但在最近幾報的數值模式顯示後期進入西太是有可能性

但目前他還是會西行進入中太平洋,一樣從夏威夷群島南方溜走

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WTPN22 PHNC 121930
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.5N 140.7W TO 9.3N 133.2W
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 121200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 9.3N 133.5W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS.

https://i.imgur.com/Odnvh5X.png

圖 99E TCFA 模式預估橫跨三洋

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GFS 06Z 系集
https://i.imgur.com/d6PetvH.png
圖 99E TCFA 模式預估橫跨三洋

EC 06C 系集
https://i.imgur.com/MZJ5g3C.png
圖 99E TCFA 模式預估橫跨三洋

CIRA 模式路徑預測誤差概率
https://i.imgur.com/Y3OSufF.png
圖 99E TCFA 模式預估橫跨三洋

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hinajian 08/14 00:19看標題還以為是大西洋+太平洋+印度洋XD

liang0906 08/14 00:55樓上這說法環球一周了吧XDD

HellFly 08/14 01:05夏威夷慘