Re: [討論] 山本由伸有比達比修強嗎？

https://www.fishstripes.com/platform/amp/2016/1/22/10812110/miami-marlins-wei-yin-chen-2016-pitch-fx-scouting-report
陳偉殷2016年初的球探報告
分析範圍為陳在金鶯隊的成績

Fastball (55): We know the fastball is the primary weapon for Chen's work with the fastball is what gets his pop-ups, but it is also what gets hit hard. However, he does have other pitches that get hit equally as hard and do not have the auto-out pop-up properties, and Chen has maintained a good velocity on his four-seamer, making it still a very useful pitch. It also is one of his go-to out-pitches, as it gets more whiffs than the average starter fastball. It is what he uses most to set up his
speed-changing game.
速球55分
可以製造飛球出局，製造揮空的能力（whiff)高於聯盟平均等級的先發投手，可以維持不錯的球速，但也會被打得很強勁（其他球種一樣會被狙擊，但不像速球具有製造飛球出局的能量）

Two-seamer (40): This pitch does not garner a lot of grounders or whiffs, and it get hit almost as hard as the four-seamer. It is a decent change-of-pace pitch at that velocity, as it specifically tails arm-side for Chen, but it does not generate enough sink to be considered good.
二縫線40分
沒辦法製造大量滾地球或揮空，沈得幅度不夠大，被狙擊會像四縫一樣被打得很強。

Slider (50): The slider is an interesting tool. It does not garner the whiffs of a usual slider, particularly against lefties. However it seems to be effective against both sides of the plate, which is a helpful thing for a left-handed pitcher. He displays good control of the pitch and places it in the zone, but like the four-seamer, when it gets hit, it does get hit hard. These positives and negatives probably even out.
滑球50分
製造揮空的能力不如一般的滑球，主要用來對付左打者，能將滑球控得很準，但如同四縫線，一旦被逮到會成為強勁擊球。

Changeup (55): The changeup is exactly what you need from a guy like Chen, a left-hander in a world of righty hitters. He places it in the zone decently, and it is the least hard-hit pitch in his arsenal. What holds it back is that, like the rest of his game, it still gets touched up a fair amount and it does not induce a whole lot of whiffs, making it harder to get strikeouts.
變速球55分
控球能力佳，是左投面對右打的必備武器，也是他所有球種中形成強力擊球比例最低的球種。製造揮空能力不強，不容易製造三振。

Curveball (45): On the plus side, the curve lands in the zone, and hitters often lay off of the pitch, leading to more called strikes. On the downside, this isn't a pitch Chen buries in the ground often, and while it does get whiffs, when it lands in the zone, it gets bombed on swings. This pitch is pretty borderline between a 45 and 50.
曲球45分
優點：可以控進好球帶，打者常放掉沒打以取得好球數。
缺點：當曲球掉到地上時確實可以製造揮空，但投進好球帶時也會被狙擊。

Overall, Chen's repertoire seems a bit above average, but he utilizes a complete unknown mix of pitches that is homogenously spread throughout all counts to help keep batters off of the track. He keeps them guessing well with his usage style, and that adds a little to all of those pitches.
整體而言，陳的stuff高於平均，陳會在整個打席中平均分配各個球種以擾亂打者（有些投手在球數領先或落後時會避免投某些球種，但陳不會），他持續讓打者猜測他的配球模式，這又為他的投球增加價值。

陳的球探報告指出他的速球優於平均
而且能製造飛球出局及揮空
因此應該不用質疑陳偉殷的速球能力
另外球探報告也說陳的控球好、在各個球數下什麼球種都能投、配球模式經常改變讓打者不易預測
這幾點是數據看不出來的優點
陳偉殷在美國其實不是大家想像的本格派投手
而是智慧型投手
當年他搭配的捕手是Matt Wieters
可能也對他的配球很有幫助
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Sent from JPTT on my iPhone

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